뱅크롤 계산기: 단위 크기 및 파산 위험
1win is licensed under Curaçao 8048/JAZ and has 400,000+ registered players managing their bets every day. This bankroll calculator recommends a unit stake size based on your total funds and risk tolerance, and estimates the probability of ruin before you hit your target. 가입하기 with 프로모 코드 XLBONUS to put bankroll discipline to work from day one.
뱅크롤 관리 계산기
이 계산기 사용 방법
뱅크롤 관리의 기본 규칙은 단일 베팅에 너무 많은 금액을 위험에 노출시키지 않는 것입니다 that a losing streak can wipe you out. The recommended unit stake is a fixed percentage of your total bankroll. Conservative bettors use 1-2%; aggressive bettors go as high as 5%.
The number of bets in bankroll equals total bankroll divided by unit stake. At 2% per bet with a 500-unit bankroll, you have 50 bets before the bankroll is exhausted. This buffer is essential for surviving the inevitable losing runs that all bettors face regardless of long-run edge.
Expected value per bet = (win rate x (decimal odds - 1)) - (1 - win rate). At 52% win rate on even-money bets (2.00 decimal), EV = (0.52 x 1.00) - 0.48 = 0.04 per unit staked, or 4% edge. A positive EV confirms the strategy has merit over a large sample.
Risk of ruin (RoR) estimates the probability of losing the entire bankroll before reaching the target. The approximation used here is: RoR = ((1-edge)/(1+edge)) ^ (bankroll / unit), where edge = EV / 1. This is a simplified model; actual RoR depends on the distribution of individual bet outcomes.
Reducing unit stake reduces RoR dramatically but also slows bankroll growth. There is no universally optimal setting: it depends on how confident you are in your edge estimate and how risk-tolerant you are. Most professional bettors use between 1% and 3% per bet regardless of perceived edge.
This calculator uses flat stakes (same amount every bet). Kelly criterion staking adjusts unit size dynamically based on edge. The Kelly criterion calculator on this site lets you compare both approaches.
1win에서 사용하는 이유
1win serves 40만 명 이상의 플레이어 across 40,000+ daily markets. Good bankroll management turns a long-term edge into consistent growth. 가입하기 with XLBONUS to claim your first deposit bonus and add to your starting bankroll.
자주 묻는 질문
What percentage of bankroll should I bet per game?
Most professional bettors recommend 1-3% per bet. 1% is very conservative; 5% is high risk. Anything above 10% per bet dramatically increases the chance of ruin, even with a positive edge.
What is risk of ruin?
Risk of ruin is the probability of losing your entire bankroll before reaching your profit target. Lower unit stakes and larger bankrolls reduce this probability significantly.
How many bets do I need for a reliable edge estimate?
A minimum of 500-1,000 settled bets is generally needed to assess whether an apparent edge is real or attributable to variance. Smaller samples are not statistically reliable.
Should I use flat stakes or Kelly staking?
Flat stakes are simpler and protect against overestimating edge. Kelly staking is theoretically optimal but requires accurate probability estimates. Beginners should start with flat stakes at 1-2% per bet.
Does a deposit bonus change my bankroll management?
Bonus funds typically come with 베팅 요건s. Factor only the portion of funds you consider truly yours when calculating unit stakes. Do not inflate your effective bankroll with locked bonus money.