Bankroll calculator: unit size and risk of ruin
1win er lisensiert under Curacao 8048/JAZ and has 400,000+ registrer deged spillere managing their bets every day. This bankroll calculator recommends a unit stake size based pa ditt totalt funds and risk tolerance, and estimates the probability of ruin before you hit your target. Registrer deg with kampanjekode XLBONUS to put bankroll discipline to work from day one.
Bankroll management calculator
Slik fungerer denne kalkulatoren
The fundamental rule of bankroll management is never to risk so much on a single bet that a losing streak can wipe you out. The recommended unit stake is a fixed percentage of your totalt bankroll. Conservative bettors use 1-2%; aggressive bettors go as high as 5%.
The number of bets in bankroll equals totalt bankroll divided by unit stake. At 2% per bet with a 500-unit bankroll, you have 50 bets before the bankroll is exhausted. This buffer is essential for surviving the inevitable losing runs that all bettors face regardless of long-run edge.
Expected value per bet = (win rate x (decimal odds - 1)) - (1 - win rate). At 52% win rate on even-money bets (2.00 decimal), EV = (0.52 x 1.00) - 0.48 = 0.04 per unit staked, or 4% edge. A positive EV confirms the strategy has merit over a large sample.
Risk of ruin (RoR) estimates the probability of losing the entire bankroll before reaching the target. The approximation used here is: RoR = ((1-edge)/(1+edge)) ^ (bankroll / unit), where edge = EV / 1. This is a simplified model; actual RoR depends on the distribution of individual bet outcomes.
Å redusere enhetsinnsatsen reduserer RoR dramatisk, men bremser også bankroll-veksten. Det finnes ingen universelt optimal innstilling: det avhenger av hvor sikker du er på ditt edge-estimat og hvor risikotolerante du er. De fleste profesjonelle spillere bruker mellom 1% og 3% per spill uavhengig av opplevd edge.
This calculator uses flat stakes (same amount every bet). Kelly-kriteriet staking adjusts unit size dynamically based on edge. The Kelly-kriteriet calculator on this site lets you compare both approaches.
Hvorfor bruke den på 1win
1win serves 400,000+ spillere across 40,000+ daily markeds. Good bankroll management turns a long-term edge into consistent growth. Registrer deg with XLBONUS to claim your forste innskuddsbonus and add to your starting bankroll.
FAQ
What percentage of bankroll should I bet per game?
De fleste profesjonelle spillere anbefaler 1–3% per innsats. 1% er svært konservativt; 5% er høy risiko. Alt over 10% per innsats øker dramatisk sjansen for ruin, selv med en positiv fordel.
What is risk of ruin?
Risk of ruin er sannsynligheten for å miste hele bankrollen din før du når profittmålet ditt. Lavere enhetsinnsatser og større bankroller reduserer denne sannsynligheten betydelig.
How many bets do I need for a reliable edge estimate?
A minimum of 500-1,000 settled bets is generally needed to assess whether an apparent edge is real or attributable to variance. Smaller samples are not statistically reliable.
Should I use flat stakes or Kelly staking?
Faste innsatser er enklere og beskytter mot å overvurdere edge. Kelly-innsatser er teoretisk optimale, men krever nøyaktige sannsynlighetsestimater. Nybegynnere bør starte med faste innsatser på 1–2% per spill.
Does a innskuddsbonus change my bankroll management?
Bonus funds typically come with omsetningskrav. Factor only the portion of funds you consider truly yours when calculating unit stakes. Do not inflate your effective bankroll with locked bonus money.