Bankroll calculator: unit size and risk of ruin
1win is licensed under Curaçao 8048/JAZ and has 400,000+ registered players managing their bets every day. This bankroll calculator recommends a unit stake size based on your total funds and risk tolerance, and estimates the probability of ruin before you hit your target. Региструј се with промо код XLBONUS to put bankroll discipline to work from day one.
Bankroll management calculator
Како ради овај калкулатор
The fundamental rule of bankroll management is never to risk so much on a single bet that a losing streak can wipe you out. The recommended unit stake is a fixed percentage of your total bankroll. Conservative bettors use 1-2%; aggressive bettors go as high as 5%.
The number of bets in bankroll equals total bankroll divided by unit stake. At 2% per bet with a 500-unit bankroll, you have 50 bets before the bankroll is exhausted. This buffer is essential for surviving the inevitable losing runs that all bettors face regardless of long-run edge.
Expected value per bet = (win rate x (decimal квоте - 1)) - (1 - win rate). At 52% win rate on even-money bets (2.00 decimal), EV = (0.52 x 1.00) - 0.48 = 0.04 per unit staked, or 4% edge. A positive EV confirms the strategy has merit over a large sample.
Risk of ruin (RoR) estimates the probability of losing the entire bankroll before reaching the target. The approximation used here is: RoR = ((1-edge)/(1+edge)) ^ (bankroll / unit), where edge = EV / 1. This is a simplified model; actual RoR depends on the distribution of individual bet outcomes.
Смањење јединичног улога драматично смањује RoR, али и успорава раст банкрола. Не постоји универзално оптимална подешавања: зависи od тога колико сте сигурни у процену edge-а и колико сте толерантни на ризик. Већина професионалних клађача користи између 1% и 3% по опклади без обзира на перципирани edge.
This calculator uses flat stakes (same amount every bet). Келијев критеријум staking adjusts unit size dynamically based on edge. The Келијев критеријум calculator on this site lets you compare both approaches.
Зашто га користити на 1win
1win serves 400 000+ играча across 40,000+ daily markets. Good bankroll management turns a long-term edge into consistent growth. Региструј се with XLBONUS to claim your first бонус за уплату and add to your starting bankroll.
FAQ
What percentage of bankroll should I bet per game?
Већина професионалних кладиничара препоручује 1-3% по опклади. 1% је веома конзервативно; 5% је висок ризик. Све преко 10% по опклади драматично повећава шансу за пропаст, чак и са позитивном предношћу.
What is risk of ruin?
Ризик od пропасти је вероватноћа губитка целог банкрола пре достизања циља добити. Нижи јединични улози и већи банкроли значајно смањују ту вероватноћу.
How many bets do I need for a reliable edge estimate?
A minimum of 500-1,000 settled bets is generally needed to assess whether an apparent edge is real or attributable to variance. Smaller samples are not statistically reliable.
Should I use flat stakes or Kelly staking?
Равни улози су једноставнији и штите od прецењивања edge-а. Kelly staking је теоретски оптималан, али захтева тачне процене вероватноће. Почетници треба да почну са равним улозима od 1-2% по опклади.
Does a deposit bonus change my bankroll management?
Бонус funds typically come with захтеви за улагање. Factor only the portion of funds you consider truly yours when calculating unit stakes. Do not inflate your effective bankroll with locked бонус money.