Arbitraaž calculator: guaranteed profit stake split
1win holds a Curaçao 8048/JAZ licence and prices 40,000+ turgs every day. This free arbitrage calculator finds the guaranteed-profit stake split across two outcome koefitsiendid. Registreeru with promokood XLBONUS to open your konto before you place your esimene arb.
2-way arbitrage calculator
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Arbitraaž kihlvedamine (also called "arbing") exploits price differences across bookmakers to guarantee a profit regardless of outcome. For a 2-way turg, a risk-free situation exists when the sum of the inverse of each koefitsiendid is less than 1.00.
The arb percentage formula is: arb% = (1/koefitsiendid1 + 1/koefitsiendid2). If this sum is below 1.00, an arbitrage opportunity exists. The lower the arb%, the larger the guaranteed profit margin.
Stake allocation for Outcome 1 uses: stake1 = kokku x (1/koefitsiendid1) / arb%. Outcome 2 receives the remainder. This ensures both outcomes return the same kokku payout.
For example, with Outcome 1 at 2.10 and Outcome 2 at 2.05, the arb% = (1/2.10 + 1/2.05) = 0.4762 + 0.4878 = 0.9640. Since this is below 1.00, an arb exists. On a kokku stake of 100, the guaranteed profit is 100 / 0.9640 - 100 = 3.73 units.
Stake allocation is proportional to the implied probability of each outcome. The higher-koefitsiendid outcome receives a smaller stake; the lower-koefitsiendid outcome receives a larger stake. Both produce identical returns on a win.
In practice, real-time pricing and konto restrictions make arbing difficult at most bookmakers. This calculator is intended primarily for understanding the math and for quick checks on promotional turgs where koefitsiendid may be inflated.
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What arb percentage is profitable?
Any arb% below 100% (expressed as a decimal below 1.00) is profitable. Lower percentages yield higher guaranteed profit. Anything above 1.00 means no arb exists.
Do bookmakers allow arbitrage kihlvedamine?
Most bookmakers restrict or limit kontos identified as arbers. Arbing is legal but can lead to stake restrictions or konto closures. Always check tingimused.
Can this work for 3-way turgs?
Yes, the principle extends to 3 outcomes: arb% = (1/o1 + 1/o2 + 1/o3). The surebet calculator on this site handles 3-way turgs explicitly.
Why must I split stakes proportionally?
Proportional stakes ensure equal return regardless of outcome. Unequal stakes would mean one outcome returns more than another, creating exposure to loss.
What is the difference between arbitrage and a surebet?
They are the same concept. "Arbitraaž" is the financial term; "surebet" is the spordikihlveod community term. Both refer to guaranteed profit from koefitsiendid discrepancies.