Arbitrage calculator: guaranteed κέρδος ποντάρισμα split
1win holds a Curaçao 8048/JAZ licence and prices 40,000+ αγορές every day. This free arbitrage calculator finds the guaranteed-κέρδος ποντάρισμα split across two outcome αποδόσεις. Εγγράψου με τον κωδικό προσφοράς XLBONUS to open your λογαριασμό before you place your first arb.
2-way arbitrage calculator
How this calculator works
Arbitrage betting (also called "arbing") exploits price differences across bookmakers to guarantee a κέρδος regardless of outcome. For a 2-way αγορά, a risk-free situation exists when the sum of the inverse of each αποδόσεις is less than 1.00.
The arb percentage formula is: arb% = (1/αποδόσεις1 + 1/αποδόσεις2). If this sum is below 1.00, an arbitrage opportunity exists. The lower the arb%, the larger the guaranteed κέρδος margin.
Ποντάρισμα allocation for Outcome 1 uses: ποντάρισμα1 = total x (1/αποδόσεις1) / arb%. Outcome 2 receives the remainder. This ensures both outcomes return the same total payout.
For example, with Outcome 1 at 2.10 and Outcome 2 at 2.05, the arb% = (1/2.10 + 1/2.05) = 0.4762 + 0.4878 = 0.9640. Since this is below 1.00, an arb exists. On a total ποντάρισμα of 100, the guaranteed κέρδος is 100 / 0.9640 - 100 = 3.73 units.
Ποντάρισμα allocation is proportional to the implied πιθανότητα of each outcome. The higher-αποδόσεις outcome receives a smaller ποντάρισμα; the lower-αποδόσεις outcome receives a larger ποντάρισμα. Both produce identical returns on a win.
In practice, real-time pricing and λογαριασμό restrictions make arbing difficult at most bookmakers. This calculator is intended primarily for understanding the math and for quick checks on promotional αγορές where αποδόσεις may be inflated.
The calculator assumes no commission is charged. Lay bets (at exchanges) carry commission which reduces guaranteed κέρδος. Use the Matched Bet calculator for commission-adjusted lay calculations.
Why use it at 1win
1win offers 40,000+ αγορές with competitive decimal pricing. Use code XLBONUS when you register to start with a boosted bankroll and explore all διαθέσιμο αγορές.
Συχνές Ερωτήσεις
What arb percentage is profitable?
Any arb% below 100% (expressed as a decimal below 1.00) is κέρδοςable. Lower percentages yield higher guaranteed κέρδος. Anything above 1.00 means no arb exists.
Do bookmakers allow arbitrage betting?
Most bookmakers restrict or limit λογαριασμόs identified as arbers. Arbing is legal but can lead to ποντάρισμα restrictions or λογαριασμό closures. Always check terms and conditions.
Can this work for 3-way markets?
Yes, the principle extends to 3 outcomes: arb% = (1/o1 + 1/o2 + 1/o3). The surebet calculator on this site handles 3-way αγορές explicitly.
Why must I split stakes proportionally?
Proportional ποντάρισμαs ensure equal return regardless of outcome. Unequal ποντάρισμαs would mean one outcome returns more than another, creating exposure to loss.
What is the difference between arbitrage and a surebet?
They are the same concept. "Arbitrage" is the financial term; "surebet" is the αθλητικά στοιχήματα community term. Both refer to guaranteed κέρδος from αποδόσεις discrepancies.