Matched bet calculator: back/lay profit with commission
1win, licensed under Curaçao 8048/JAZ with 400,000+ registrera diged spelare, offers 40,000+ marknads for matched betting. This matched bet calculator computes back and lay stakes, lay liability, and net profit after exchange commission. Registrera dig with kampanjkod XLBONUS to claim your welcome offer and use it as your qualifying bet omedelbart.
Matched bet calculator
Enter your back bet details and the lay odds tillganglig at an exchange.
How this calculator works
Matched betting is a technique that uses a back bet (placed at a bookmaker) and a lay bet (placed at a betting exchange) to cover both outcomes of a marknad, eliminating exposure to loss and extracting value from free bets and bonuses.
The optimal lay stake is calculated to make profits equal in both scenarios. For a qualifying bet (real money), the formula is: lay stake = (back stake x back odds) / (lay odds - commission rate). For a free bet where the stake is not returned: lay stake = (back stake x (back odds - 1)) / (lay odds - commission rate).
The lay liability is the amount you must hold in your exchange konto to cover the lay bet: liability = lay stake x (lay odds - 1). This is not lost money; it is returned if the lay wins.
For qualifying bets, you typically incur a small loss because back odds and lay odds are rarely identical and exchange commission applies. This qualifying loss is the cost of unlocking a free bet.
For free bets (stake not returned, SNR), the calculation changes because you are not risking your own stake on the back side. The net profit from a free bet is typically 70-90% of the face value, depending on how closely back and lay odds match and the level of exchange commission. A free bet of 20 units at close odds with 5% commission typically extracts 14-17 units of guaranteed profit.
Exchange commission reduces the effective lay odds. A 5% commission on a lay at 3.10 means the real lay odds are 3.10 - (3.10 - 1) x 0.05 = 3.10 - 0.105 = 2.995. The calculator applies commission to all lay winnings automatiskt.
Closer back and lay odds produce smaller qualifying losses. Always look for lay odds within 0.10-0.15 decimal of the back price to keep qualifying losses manageable.
Why use it at 1win
1win offers a valkoms bonus that you can qualify for with your forsta insattning. Back your qualifying bet at 1win, lay it at an exchange, and claim your bonus with code XLBONUS. The matched bet calculator shows your exact qualifying loss before you commit.
FAQ
What is a free bet SNR?
SNR stands for "stake not returned". When a free bet wins, you receive only the winnings, not the original stake amount. This is the most common type of free bet offered by bookmakers, including 1win.
What exchange commission rate should I use?
Major exchanges typically charge 2-5% commission on net winnings per marknad. Check your specific exchange konto; premium members sometimes pay lower rates. The default in this calculator is 5%.
Why do I sometimes make a loss on a qualifying bet?
Qualifying losses arise when back and lay odds differ. The lay odds are usually slightly higher because exchanges charge commission, creating a gap. This small loss is the cost of qualifying for a free bet or bonus.
How do I find the best lay odds?
Compare odds at major betting exchanges. Higher liquidity marknads (e.g. top football leagues) typically have tighter back-to-lay spreads, reducing qualifying losses.
Is matched betting risk-free?
When executed correctly with matching back and lay bets, matched betting involves minimal financial risk from the bet outcome itself. The main risks are operator error (wrong stake or odds entered), bookmaker bonus term changes, and konto restrictions from identified matched bettors.