Bankroll calculator: unit size and risk of ruin
1win is i licencuar under Curaçao 8048/JAZ and has 400,000+ lojtarë të regjistruar managing their bets every day. This bankroll calculator recommends a unit shumë e bastit size based on your total funds and risk tolerance, and estimates the probabilitet of ruin before you hit your target. Regjistrohu me kodin promovues XLBONUS to put bankroll discipline to work from day one.
Bankroll management calculator
How this calculator works
The fundamental rule of bankroll management is never to risk so much on a single bet that a losing streak can wipe you out. The recommended unit shumë e bastit is a fixed percentage of your total bankroll. Conservative bettors use 1-2%; aggressive bettors go as high as 5%.
The number of bets in bankroll equals total bankroll divided by unit shumë e bastit. At 2% per bet with a 500-unit bankroll, you have 50 bets before the bankroll is exhausted. This buffer is essential for surviving the inevitable losing runs that all bettors face regardless of long-run edge.
Expected value per bet = (win rate x (decimal odds - 1)) - (1 - win rate). At 52% win rate on even-money bets (2.00 decimal), EV = (0.52 x 1.00) - 0.48 = 0.04 per unit shumë e bastitd, or 4% edge. A positive EV konfirmos the strategy has merit over a large sample.
Risk of ruin (RoR) estimates the probabilitet of losing the entire bankroll before reaching the target. The approximation used here is: RoR = ((1-edge)/(1+edge)) ^ (bankroll / unit), where edge = EV / 1. This is a simplified model; actual RoR depends on the distribution of individual bet outcomes.
Reducing unit shumë e bastit reduces RoR dramatically but also slows bankroll growth. There is no universally optimal setting: it depends on how confident you are in your edge estimate and how risk-tolerant you are. Most professional bettors use between 1% and 3% per bet regardless of perceived edge.
This calculator uses flat shumë e bastits (same amount every bet). Kelly criterion staking adjusts unit size dynamically based on edge. The Kelly criterion calculator on this site lets you compare both approaches.
Why use it at 1win
1win serves 400,000+ lojtarë across 40,000+ çdo ditë tregje. Good bankroll management turns a long-term edge into consistent growth. Regjistrohu with XLBONUS to claim your depozita e parë bonus and add to your starting bankroll.
Pyetje të Shpeshta
What percentage of bankroll should I bet per game?
Most professional bettors recommend 1-3% per bet. 1% is very conservative; 5% is high risk. Anything above 10% per bet dramatically increases the chance of ruin, even with a positive edge.
What is risk of ruin?
Risk of ruin is the probabilitet of losing your entire bankroll before reaching your fitim target. Lower unit shumë e bastits and larger bankrolls reduce this probabilitet significantly.
How many bets do I need for a reliable edge estimate?
A minimumi of 500-1,000 settled bets is generally needed to assess whether an apparent edge is real or attributable to variance. Smaller samples are not statistically reliable.
Should I use flat stakes or Kelly staking?
Flat shumë e bastits are simpler and protect against overestimating edge. Kelly staking is theoretically optimal but requires accurate probabilitet estimates. Beginners should start with flat shumë e bastits at 1-2% per bet.
Does a deposit bonus change my bankroll management?
Bonus funds typically come with kërkesa bastimi. Factor only the portion of funds you consider truly yours when calculating unit shumë e bastits. Do not inflate your effective bankroll with locked bonus money.