Arbitrage calculator: guaranteed fitim shumë e bastit split
1win holds a Curaçao 8048/JAZ licence and prices 40,000+ tregje every day. This free arbitrage calculator finds the guaranteed-fitim shumë e bastit split across two outcome odds. Regjistrohu me kodin promovues XLBONUS to open your llogari before you place your first arb.
2-way arbitrage calculator
How this calculator works
Arbitrage betting (also called "arbing") exploits price differences across bookmakers to guarantee a fitim regardless of outcome. For a 2-way treg, a risk-free situation exists when the sum of the inverse of each odds is less than 1.00.
The arb percentage formula is: arb% = (1/odds1 + 1/odds2). If this sum is below 1.00, an arbitrage opportunity exists. The lower the arb%, the larger the guaranteed fitim margin.
Shumë e Bastit allocation for Outcome 1 uses: shumë e bastit1 = total x (1/odds1) / arb%. Outcome 2 receives the remainder. This ensures both outcomes return the same total payout.
For example, with Outcome 1 at 2.10 and Outcome 2 at 2.05, the arb% = (1/2.10 + 1/2.05) = 0.4762 + 0.4878 = 0.9640. Since this is below 1.00, an arb exists. On a total shumë e bastit of 100, the guaranteed fitim is 100 / 0.9640 - 100 = 3.73 units.
Shumë e Bastit allocation is proportional to the implied probabilitet of each outcome. The higher-odds outcome receives a smaller shumë e bastit; the lower-odds outcome receives a larger shumë e bastit. Both produce identical returns on a win.
In practice, real-time pricing and llogari restrictions make arbing difficult at most bookmakers. This calculator is intended primarily for understanding the math and for quick checks on promotional tregje where odds may be inflated.
The calculator assumes no commission is charged. Lay bets (at exchanges) carry commission which reduces guaranteed fitim. Use the Matched Bet calculator for commission-adjusted lay calculations.
Why use it at 1win
1win offers 40,000+ tregje with competitive decimal pricing. Use code XLBONUS when you register to start with a boosted bankroll and explore all i disponueshëm tregje.
Pyetje të Shpeshta
What arb percentage is profitable?
Any arb% below 100% (expressed as a decimal below 1.00) is fitimable. Lower percentages yield higher guaranteed fitim. Anything above 1.00 means no arb exists.
Do bookmakers allow arbitrage betting?
Most bookmakers restrict or limit llogaris identified as arbers. Arbing is legal but can lead to shumë e bastit restrictions or llogari closures. Always check terms and conditions.
Can this work for 3-way markets?
Yes, the principle extends to 3 outcomes: arb% = (1/o1 + 1/o2 + 1/o3). The surebet calculator on this site handles 3-way tregje explicitly.
Why must I split stakes proportionally?
Proportional shumë e bastits ensure equal return regardless of outcome. Unequal shumë e bastits would mean one outcome returns more than another, creating exposure to loss.
What is the difference between arbitrage and a surebet?
They are the same concept. "Arbitrage" is the financial term; "surebet" is the baste sportive community term. Both refer to guaranteed fitim from odds discrepancies.